Principles of Risk

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Friday, 06 April 2012

This paper - while a standalone invited essay written for a special crisis issue of New Political Economy - synthesizes the various technical documents by the author as related to the financial crisis. It can also be used as a technical companion to The Black Swan (2007-2010).

Wednesday, 14 November 2012

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Tuesday, 02 December 2014

Dr David Hillson’s Risk Doctor briefings are available in English, French, German, Spanish, (Brazilian) Portuguese, (Traditional) Chinese, Farsi (Persian) and Russian. Topics covered include Managing Risk in Complex Projects, Including Sustainability in the Risk Framework, Managing Reputation Risk and Managing Risk Across Borders.

Tuesday, 21 February 2012

We live in an uncertain world in which citizens are subject to numerous threats and hazards from within and outside the UK. One of the responsibilities of government is to help address these using the very best methodology for identifying, assessing and managing risk.

Cabinet Office and Ministry of Defence commissioned this Blackett Review. The review uses internationally regarded experts from outside government to present up to date and leading edge thinking on the best ways to approach identifying, assessing and managing high impact low probability risk. The report identifies several recommendations for further strengthening UK government's approaches to addressing these types of risk. It will also be of value to the wider Risk Management community.

Wednesday, 15 August 2012

See below.

Wednesday, 15 August 2012

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Friday, 27 January 2012

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Wednesday, 07 December 2011

Article from the McKinsey 'What Matters' website

What is risk management all about anyway? We use the words as though …me say the same thing from another perspective: risk management really means attempting to optimize outcomes …environment. How, then, can we come to grips with risk management when mathematics fails us? I begin the answer to …provides a profound insight into the essence of risk management. A married couple came to see us at our offices …probability, his more fundamental contribution to risk management is similar to Hamlet’s, although I doubt that.

Monday, 19 December 2011

Slides from IRM's 2011 Annual Lecture

IRM's Annual Lecture 2011.

David Spiegelhalter
Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, 
University of Cambridge


Friday, 27 January 2012

Different perspectives on long-term risks facing the health sector